Friday, October 17, 2014

MANHUNT: THE REALITIES



PA. STATE TROOPER KILLER AND "JIHADI JOHN":
TWO FUGITIVES WORLDS APART
 PRESENT SIMILAR CHALLENGES
Cpl. Bryon Dickson (right) was killed in the September 12 ambush

 Trooper Alex Douglass (left) was wounded and released

from the hospital today.


TAGS: PENNSYLVANIA STATE TROOPERS AMBUSHED, SUSPECT FUGITIVE,
ERIC FREIN DOMESTIC TERRORIST, JIHADI JOHN. IS BEHEADING AMERICAN HOSTAGES,
EXTREMIST TERRORISTS, TERRORIST ALL HAVE SIMILAR GOAL - INCITE FEAR,
TAKE THE GLOVES OFF 



UPDATED Sunday October 19, 2014


(Friday October 17, 2014 Pennsylvania State Police Barracks, Blooming Grove, PA)  This densely wooded, sparsely populated rural corner of Northeast Pennsylvania is where as the 11 o’clock PM shift change on September 12 was underway at the Pennsylvania State Police Barracks here, a lone gunman concealed by the cloak of darkness, ambushed two Pennsylvania State Troopers killing one, critically injuring the other.  The gunman slipped back into the heavy hilly, timbered terrain from which he had emerged briefly enough to conduct his cowardly act.  State Police Officer Cpl. Bryon Dickson was killed instantly while Trooper Alex Douglass was severely wounded and was transported to a hospital in Scranton.

Within 48 hours of the ambush a suspect was identified.  Eric Matthew Frein, 31, who had until recently resided with his parents in a small community in Pike County.  Their exact address is being withheld from the public for security and privacy purposes.  Frein, a self-taught and extremely experienced survivalist, is also an accomplished marksman.  His father, a retired US Army Officer said of his son’s shooting skills, “He never misses”.  Frein has also been a member of a “military simulation unit”. Friends and associates have said that his particular “unit” assumes the role of Eastern European soldiers.  Some who know him have told the Police during interviews that Frein may have adopted the persona of a simulated character as his own.  Whatever the case may be, he remains an extremely dangerous fugitive on the run and has evaded capture for 36 days despite the substantial forces brought to bear to apprehend him.

Friends and relatives of the suspect say that he has long expressed a deep-seated hatred of “The Police” and had spoken on occasion of “acting out” in some way.  Some expressed more surprise than others after learning that Eric Frein was the primary – only – suspect.  That he is thus far able to elude the dozens of law enforcement agents with their infrared, night vision and heat seeking technology, tracking hounds, helicopter surveillance and as some have reported, drone aircraft, speaks loud and clearly about the challenges of apprehending a man in an environment where he is most comfortable and confident.  For some this may appear to represent a lack of skills or some measure of ineptitude among all the State and local police officers.  That is not the case.  A man determined to not be found can be a cunning, intelligent, adaptable, elusive prey.   Trooper Alex Douglass was released from the hospital earlier today while; according to the authorities Frein remains loose.  By their estimations they say he is within a five square mile box of rugged forested territory.

Several weeks ago some of the searches happened upon a make-shift campsite Frein had recently used.  They found empty cans of tuna fish, some ammunition and a note providing the details of the ambush that could only be known by the perpetrator.  Authorities have also stated without any details that Frein is “taunting” the police by leaving written messages in his wake for his pursuers to find.  Likely it will only be by sheer luck or by Frein making a mistake that he will be captured anytime soon.  Winter is fast approaching the Pocono Valley and obviously Frein prepared well for a protracted manhunt.

Perhaps the public has misconceptions about certain aspects of law enforcement based on the entertainment provided by dramatic TV crime series, police procedurals, and other forms of media.  While forensics science has become increasingly advanced and sophisticated, much of police work is what it always has been.  Yes, some of the equipment provides the police with great advantages but all the new science and technology available will never be able to replace “shoe leather detecting”, the nuts and bolts of tracking down leads and contacts, of gathering and analyzing information.  In this particular case, the suspect has the upper hand in many ways.  Eric Rudolph, the 1996 “Olympics Bomber” who had also bombed several abortion clinics throughout the south east remained a fugitive for five years before his apprehension.  He made the mistake of sneaking into a small town during the night in search of food and a local Sheriff’s Deputy nabbed him.  It was Rudolph’s mistake that lead to his capture not any police work involved. 

“JIHADI JOHN”

Jihadi John with American journalist James Foley

shortly before Foley’s gruesome death


While the current Ebola crisis has driven him from the front pages of newspapers and lead stories on the TV news, the Islamic State (IS aka ISIL, ISIS) leader known as Jihadi John is also a highly sought fugitive.  For whatever reason the man they are calling by this childish name, either chose or was appointed by others to be the spokesman for IS.  He first entered the American conscience as he delivered his threats against America while by his side knelt a captured westerner.  Eventually, those videos began to include footage capturing actual beheadings.  Even some of the most experienced law enforcement and intelligence agents who viewed these videos were horrified by their brutality.  As a means to authenticate whether or not the video clips depicted “real” decapitations required the CIA and FBI to seek other expertise such as Forensic Pathologists and some of the most experienced Homicide Detectives to view the clips and assess them within the area of their expertise.  The “full length” videos which, for obvious reasons will never be shown to the public, did confirm that those individuals posed in the kneeling position wearing orange jumpsuits had in fact been beheaded.  Due to the appearance of everyone else in these videos – they were all dressed identically as Jihadi John – it remains an open question that the actual decapitator has been Jihadi John himself.  Decapitation by knife or sword is a horribly messy undertaking and it has been theorized that Jihadi John makes the video with the victim at his side, the tape stops rolling while another member of IS, indistinguishable from Jihadi John steps in and does the actual beheading.  Afterwards Jihadi John continues his harangue with the head of the decapitated hostage placed on their own backs.  Obviously this barbarism is intended to shock and repulse Americans and, in that regard, it has been effective.  But why mention Jihadi John and Eric Frein in the same discussion?  Just to provide a reality check.

THE REALITIES OF A MANHUNT

The annals of law enforcement are replete with the stories of famous and infamous manhunts; tales of highly sought criminals who lived in “plain sight” without being recognized.  But, there are also some remarkable accounts of “high value” fugitives being captured or killed by law enforcement.  The most recent of these amazing tales is the one detailing the 10 year efforts to locate Osama bin Laden who was killed by members of Navy Seal Team 6 at his fortified compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan in May 2011.  Yes, it took 10 years and the combined efforts of the entire intelligence community, our military and other assets ultimately prevailed.

Despite that far flung success it is unrealistic to believe as British Prime Minister Cameron and the American President Obama have vowed, to find and capture Jihadi John.  Given the difficulties in locating and capturing Eric Frein, a man most likely confined to a tight square of forest, where some of those law enforcement officers involved in the search might themselves hunt and fish illustrates, Jihadi John’s ultimate demise might come by way of a well-timed laser guided missile.  Collateral damage will not be an issue just as has not been for many of the other terrorists and their leaders we have killed from afar. 

In a criminal setting here in America, our constitutional and criminal law dictate what methods may be used to capture a fugitive.  Since over 97% of murders in the United States are committed by a person(s) known by the victim(s), the investigation is often just connecting the dots, running down known associates and compelling witnesses and other to cooperate with the police.  Those arrested and indicted on a murder or homicide charge are afforded an ironclad bulwark of constitutional and civil rights; that is our way.  Where we or rather our government has gone astray is in maintaining the ideal that we can capture and “bring terrorists to justice”.  Yes, our principles and system of jurisprudence is nothing if not noble.  Even when that nobility has jeopardized our own interests we have not ever resorted to the tactics and methods of our adversaries; we have not, no matter what some on the liberal Left side of the political spectrum think, devolved into a brutal police state, an oppressive military or anything other than what we have stood for since 1776.

WHO WE ARE

It was the early autumn of 1998 and President Bill Clinton was in the White House. Just weeks before two American embassies, one in Kenya, the other in Tanzania, had been bombed by al Qaeda.  The CIA and NSA had located Osama bin Laden then living in central Afghanistan.  The military presented President Clinton with some options to kill the terrorist leader and it was decided that Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from naval ships at sea would be aimed at bin Laden’s encampment.  Almost at the last minute satellite imagery revealed the presence of a swing set at the encampment indicating that bin Laden had his extended family with him that included up to 100 children.  The missile strike was scrapped and bin Laden lived another day.  He would go on to be responsible for the attacks on our soil on September 11, 2001.  This account demonstrates one of the most profound differences between those who oppose us and seek to do us harm on a massive scale.  The most vicious of those we fight, extremist groups such as IS, al Qaeda and its affiliates and groups practicing the most strict translation of Sharia law, have no qualms in committing gross atrocities, genocide, kidnapping and mass rape even on their fellow Muslims.  We in the west have a hard time comprehending these facts of life but, we cannot ignore them any longer. 

EYE FOR AN EYE

Individuals like Eric Frein and Jihadi John, by their own actions, have forfeited any kind of rights regarding capture and punishment.  Frein, a cop killing domestic terrorist and Jihadi John, an Islamic extremist both practice variants of the same trade.  For far too long many in the world have taken advantage of our legal restraint, our nobility.  We, as a nation have always been gracious, if not magnanimous in victory; never an occupying force although we had ample opportunity to do so.  After the bloody World War II the United States rebuilt the nations we had soundly defeated.  There is true nobility in that.  We treat or captured “enemy combatants” in very humane and decent conditions and manner.

Perhaps it is time we take off the proverbial gloves and go bare knuckles.  Our adversaries only understand force and violence; half assed measures, tempered responses should not cripple our efforts abroad nor should political correctness paralyze law enforcement domestically.































 Copyright The Brooding Cynyx 2014 © All Rights Reserved


Thursday, October 16, 2014

Blog Action Day 2014: INEQUALITY




The Brooding Cynyx are proud to participate for the third
consecutive year in the annual
“Blog Action Day”
This year’s topic is “Inequality” and it seems even more appropriate
a topic given some of the realities of today.




(Thursday October 16, 2014, NY, NY, USA) Inequalities abound; they have come to define these first 13 years of the 21st century but they have long been with us.  The crises of the rampant scarcity of clean water, global hunger, gapping disparities in the quality of life from one country to the next are simply too big to ignore. Our world today is an intricately woven tapestry with each strand of yarn connected to several others and so on.

 In our world rife with bloodshed, oppression, warfare and a host of other ills, if they could all be summed up in a single word, that word is “inequality”.  The world of today is so complexly interconnected in every way that all the inequalities are all well-known, documented, and reported in the media.  Inequality comes in many guises and insidious forms just as it comes in grossly obvious manifestations.  Inequality between groups is at the root, the very core of so much that ails our world that it is often overlooked, it is the grinding tectonic force often obscured by the dense curtain of geopolitics, international commerce and finance, in a Darwinian conflict that have exceeds that between the “haves and have not’s”.   

In America talk of inequality these days is a debate about wealth and how it is consolidated in just one percent of the population.  Calls for a “distribution of wealth” represents a facet of this truth that is more an enigma than a problem seeking solution.  Here, too, we have deep seated racial inequalities that remain a stain on the soul of America despite over 70 years of efforts to eradicate this disparity.

But then we cast our eyes outward, beyond the shores of our America and learn what true inequality is; the scale and scope of it is enormous and leaves no corner of the globe unaffected.  Some of the most profound inequalities are masked by ethnic and religious animosities some that originated in antiquity. Oppression is a weapon used to reinforce inequality.  Whether it is the grotesque oppression of the Palestinians by the Israelis, the genocidal practices of warring factions in Iraq and Syria where small, ancient Christian sects are being threatened with extinction, or the bloody civil wars that have ravaged some of the most remote swathes of Africa, where ever there is oppression there is inequality.

As we seek to understand the genesis of some of this venomous hatred, an event arises that, at least for the moment, changes the topic and serves as a stark reminder of not only our interconnectedness and inequality, by also the depths of both. 

From some of the deepest, darkest corners of sub-Saharan, western Africa, an ancient nemesis has emerged and emerged with a vengeance.  The worst outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD), (formerly known as Ebola haemorrhagic fever) is blazing a trail of horrific death from Guinea, Liberia and through parts of Sierra Leone.  The death toll is reportedly approaching 5,000 but due to the remoteness of some of the impacted villages and a public health infrastructure that is for all intents and purposes non-existent, the mortality rate is climbing while any opportunity to employ the tried and true tactics of “locate, isolate, quarantine and treat” has long since passed.  The reasons for this are many and varied; some the result of the conditions and circumstances within these countries, others, may be traced back to an initially tepid response by the international health care agencies including the World Health Organization (WHO),  United States Agency for International Development (USAID), and other non-governmental organizations (NGO’s). The corrupt practices in those countries have at times impeded getting donated supplies meant for the outbreak sites have been stolen by tin pot despots and local thugs demanding ransom. In an outbreak of this nature to say time is of the essence is a cruel understatement.  Reports of overrun jungle clinics, a scarcity of even the most basic medical supplies and rotting virus-laden corpses in the streets while those able to flee are running in fear from  their native towns and villages racing away from a virus they may  have already contracted but  has yet to show its tell-tale symptoms.

As we are finding out viruses do not respect borders; they have no nationalistic loyalty.  Their primary function is to replicate within a host and do lethal, fatal damage and move on to the next person.  However, the Ebola outbreak serves to underscore some of the most pervasive and disturbing inequalities among people today.  Over one billion of our fellow world citizens have no access to clean potable water or hygienic sewer system.   Almost as many barely make enough to sustain their families and, as a consequence a billion people are malnourished and susceptible to infections.  In some “Third World” “developing” countries upwards of 27% of new born children die within the first four years of life from simple Pneumonia and diarrhea while millions more succumb to relatively benign pathogens that children in the western world easily shrug off.  Polio and malaria remain at epidemic proportions in Africa and the Asian subcontinent while they have been virtually vanquished from the United States. The saddest element of many of these inequalities is that there are relatively cost effective fixes available.  What is lacking is the political will of the western world.  The United Nations proves its profound uselessness when it comes to seriously addressing inequalities as do the former colonial powers who exploited the natural resources and people of many African countries for centuries. 

Inequality is the direct result of prejudice; of the “divide and conquer” mindset that becomes a self-perpetuating organism that grows more malignant over time.  My religion is the “true” religion; my ethnicity is superior to yours. These thoughts are at the very core of some of the worst inequalities. 

There is an enigmatic component to inequality in that it appears that by our birth right, by simply being born into the environment that we are determines our fate.  How is it in a world with so much wealth that so many people long for clean water and reliable sources of food?  If anything these questions have assumed a greater sense of urgency now that our interconnectedness defines our world.  We are all truly related, the “six degrees of separation” principal is alive and well.  If we have any doubts about this, the current Ebola crisis is stark proof.  A man returning from a visit to Monrovia who had contracted the virus during his visit home found himself in a medical emergency within 40 hours of his arrival to his home in Dallas Texas.  The “Jet Set” reality of epidemiology cannot be ignored.  We can no longer say “well this or that is happening ‘over there’”; that defies today’s reality and logic.

What are the answers?  They may not be readily available but they are there and yes, they all require a commitment of money and resources.  We, all the western “developed” countries have a responsibility, an obligation, to our fellow global citizens.















 Copyright The Brooding Cynyx 2014 © All Rights Reserved


  

Friday, October 3, 2014

EBOLA IN AMERICA: NYC DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH DOWNPLAYS THE THREAT TO NYC



INFECTED MAN FROM MONROVIA

MISDIAGNOSED IN DALLAS E.R. DESPITE SHOWING

SIGNS OF EBOLA
THOMAS DUNCAN THE MAN WHO CARRIED

EBOLA FROM LIBERIA TO TEXAS.

PATIENT “X” IF EBOLA SPREADS IN AMERICA.


Authorities weigh the options of indicting him as a criminal

for falsifying his travel documents.



TAGS: EBOLA, EBOLA IN UNITED STATES,

THOMAS DUNCAN CARRIED EBOLA FROM MONROVIA TO DALLAS,

DOZENS OF OTHERS IN ISOLATION,

HOW MANY PEOPLE DID INFECTED DUNCAN INTERACT WITH?

SIMILARITY TO AIDS CRISIS, TRAVEL BAN CONSIDERED




(Friday October 3, 2014 NYU Medical Center, NYC) On Wednesday Dr. Jay Varma the Deputy Commissioner of the New York City Health Department told the New York Daily News that “The way to control Ebola is the same way we control measles or syphilis — we diagnose, isolate and treat them.”  Dr. Varma continued that if there was an outbreak of Ebola within City limits, "We have an army of disease detectives whose job it is to stop disease from spreading.”  That sounds reassuring but pathogens such as  viruses like Ebola are among the most mysterious and deadly semi-life forms on Earth. 

Aside from being transmitted via direct contact with the blood or other body fluids of an infected individual, studies have shown the virus can exist outside a human body on a surface such as an armrest, airplane seat, door handle or any other solid surface for up to two hours.  Now that is something to consider.

EBOLAVIRUS IN THE UNITED STATES

This is literally the fodder of nightmares and horror films.  A virus, a primitive microscopic cluster of proteins infects a local population in some of the deepest, darkest jungle environments in Africa and it is carried unknowingly by a single individual, Patient “X”, who has been positively identified as Thomas E. Duncan, into the United States.  Patient X had direct contact with who knows how many people in airports and on the four flights that brought him from Monrovia, Liberia, via Brussels and Dulles Airport outside Washington, DC and ultimately to his final destination of Dallas, Texas. 

There remains a fair amount of confusion regarding Patient X and his initial visit to the emergency department at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospitals in Dallas shortly after his arrival in Texas.  For whatever reason (s) he was sent home from that emergency department visit with an antibiotic and some pain relievers.  He returned within 30 hours to the emergency department this time presenting with florid symptoms of the deadly disease.  As epidemiologists and other CDC investigators are engaged in the daunting task of locating those who may have had some degree of contact with Patient X during his lengthy, multi-leg travels home, many others at the CDC and NIH virology and infectious disease departments are working on the many and clinical, treatment, and societal aspects a wide scale Ebola outbreak would present.  As they work on the problems, the challenges are daunting. 

1982

Those of us of a certain age can recall a similar medical mystery, an outbreak of a “new” disease that was as frightening as it was clinically confounding.  Physicians in New York City and San Francisco initially began reporting increasing numbers of young homosexual men presenting with an odd malignancy - Kaposi’s Sarcoma – as well as an ill-defined syndrome that included deficiencies in their immune systems.  The immune cells that were depleted were of a specific variety, T-cells, cells vital to the effectiveness of the entire immune system.  Some of this growing patient population exhibited other uncommon symptoms particularly PCP pneumonia– a typically benign organism that lives in all of our lungs without event but in the men with compromised immune systems, this opportunistic disease was often proof positive of the presence of what would later be known as Acquired Immune Deficiency Disease or, commonly, AIDS.

At the time the AIDS crisis hit full force in NYC there was much misinformation and disinformation that it created confusion and fear among professions from Police and Fire Fighters, EMT’s, funeral parlor morticians, nurses and other health care workers as well as among a general public looking for some place to assign blame.  The word AIDS was enough to strike fear in the hearts of many in the “vulnerable “populations who were assigned to care for them and handle their bodies once they died.  It seemed that every new missive from a public health official only created a host of new fears. The protective standard observed by health care professionals and those who came into contact with such people like Cops, was “BBF” – the acronym for Blood and Body Fluid Precautions.  This proved to be an inadequate protocol in the face of what felt like an ever expanding epidemic, and eventually it gave way to the practice of “Universal Precautions”: treat every person you came in contact with as if they were infected.

1983

AIDS was now a household word especially for young sexually active people be they heterosexual or homosexual.  Condom sales went through the roof and, as the population of those stricken and dying continued to escalate, there was backlash against specific groups based largely on the rampant disinformation.  Certainly, homosexual men bore the brunt of the scorn, intravenous drug abusers who tended at that time to be predominately Black and Latino were ostracized and at one time a dubious theory blaming recently arrived Haitian immigrants were designated as the carriers of this yet to be identified pathogen.

There have literally been volumes written about how the HIV virus, a rare “retrovirus” was identified as the causative agent.  To this day many eminent doctors and scientists do not believe HIV causes AIDS.  There remains almost as much unknown at this point about the etiology of Ebola and where ever a gap of clear cause and affect exists, it is filled rapidly with bad pseudoscience, half-baked theories and conspiracies. Yes, more is known about Ebola at this time than was known about AIDS in a similar time line but that will do little to allay the concerns of the public.   But through stringent efforts in the homosexual community to stop the transmissibility of AIDS by some of their promiscuous behavior, as well as doctors and researchers in America and France, the outbreak became contained.  Or so it was thought until young children, hospital surgical patients who had received blood transfusions or other blood products began presenting with the sure signs of AIDS.  AIDS had gotten into the blood supply and blood itself as well as several products derived from it such as lifesaving clotting factor to treat hemophiliacs opened the public and what had been up to that point, a Presidential administration that had not dared to so much as utter the word “AIDS” publically.  Once the face of AIDS changed from gay sexually active men and minority IV drug addicts, to young children living with a deadly disease infected by AIDS via the sera used to treat them, the entire public was forced to recognize the folly of believing a pathogen of any kind would remain isolated to one or two marginalized segments of the population.

EPIDEMIOLOGY 101

The reports that have been dispatched by the media from Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea  are enough to concern even the most skeptical among us.  Oddly, it was only 16 days ago we wrote in this space about the health care surveillance system in New York City and other large America cities.  The fact that this traveler from the “hot zone” was not truthful  in providing answers to some of the questions asked along his way is not to be unexpected.  Perhaps Patient X already had an inkling that he had been exposed to the lethal virus.  His natural instinct would likely have been to get home to America as fast as possible.  This begs the question, who can we monitor all the points of entry be they international airports or the notoriously porous southern border we share with Mexico?

As every detective knows, tracking down leads, trying to locate individuals,  the movements, transactions and interactions of a wanted person and his or her known associates, or simply a “person of interest” in the parlance of the day, is a time consuming, man-hour chugging matter of shoe leather investigating.  The Field Epidemiology Teams that are dispatched to places an outbreak has occurred are medical detectives.  Typically, in the past, within the first weeks of signs of an outbreak of Ebola or one of its related illnesses, the World Health Organization (WHO) often working with our CDC and Doctors Without Borders (DWB) arrive on the scene as quickly as possible to do the all-important, elementary steps of isolating the town or village where Ebola has struck and quarantining those most obviously infected.   In almost every case in the past it was relatively simple to cordon off the town and then begin to treat as best they could those suffering the wasting ravages of a disease that can have a mortality rate of 90%.  That is a staggering statistic.

Once these initial steps are taken those most sickened by the virus die and those who were infected but managed to survive appear to have “immunity” to it.  With no new unexposed potential victims to infect, that particular outbreak burns itself out.  The Ebola virus is left to return to its natural host to await another chance to cause an outbreak.

EBOLA AND NATIONAL SECURITY

Viruses, as far as pathogens are concerned, are very different from bacteria, fungi, and parasites.  They are small collections of amino acid produced proteins assembled not by cellular DNA material but rather by RNA, the pseudo-negative template of raw DNA.  They cannot live by any definition of the word except in a host’s cell.  They insinuate their way into cells, use that cells genetic machinery to replicate themselves until they are of sufficient quantity to fully crowd that cell to the breaking point when all those untold copies of that virus are released into the host blood stream.  This method of subatomic machination makes viral borne illnesses among the most difficult for medical science to treat.

Viruses can be as difficult to identify due to the fact that they remain hidden as they replicate in the host cells.  Each cell they infect becomes a virtual clandestine virus factory and will not be vacated until the virus, now exponentially multiplied, vacates the now useless host cell.  But, as with other pathogens, there is a wide variety of viruses.  They range in severity from the “common cold” causing rhinovirus, up through the spectrum of mortality to the hemorrhagic viruses including Lassa fever, Dengue fever and Ebola.

Viruses’ can also present a particular diagnostic challenge.  While replicating in the host cells, the outer membrane of those infected cells serve as “good cover” for the virus factory just beyond that thin membrane.  But, it is that membrane and its receptors and other immune system gadgetry that is more than adequate to protect the immune system from any suspicious intracellular activity.  As in Ebola, this “latency” period, the time between acquiring the infection until the onset of the initial symptoms can be as long as three weeks.  With a three week head start, once symptoms are obvious the disease process is already well established and replicating at an exponential rate.  The virus has the upper hand in this scenario and typically always does.

Ebola as it is in nature is not a likely choice for bio-terrorism; it is too fragile outside its host and native environs and requires “blood to blood” contact for transmissibility.  But it does represent the potential of what a similarly lethal pathogen could do to a wide population if deployed.

Already some experts in CDC and NIH are ringing the warning bells that this “strain” of Ebola, more robust than that which caused the most previous outbreak may have in fact already mutated simply as a result of its generational development.  If this is the case, and if this new strain of Ebola has acquired new RNA components, it could become an epidemic of epic proportions if it reaches the United States.  It has already killed almost 4,000 people in its native environs of Africa.  If such a strain was introduced into the American population the majority of whom have absolutely no immune protection from other Africa-based illnesses, the mortality rate could be higher than anyone or any specific computer model has predicted.

DUNCAN IN DALLAS


IT’S A SMALL WORLD AFTER ALL.

PATIENT "X”, THOMAS DUNCAN TRAVELED FROM THE

HOT ZONE OF MONROVIA TO DALLAS TEXAS

WITHIN 33 HOURS


Yes, Ebola is here.  Thomas Duncan was not the first Ebola stricken patient to arrive in the United States; there have been several doctors and health care providers who became infected while toiling in the hot zone who have been transported back to the United States for life saving treatment.  Duncan is, however, the first private citizen to depart from a hot zone bound for America.  This simple fact, and this fact alone, places him, at this time, in a category all his own.  He came here of his own volition totting along a lethal virus; a virus with the potential to kill millions of Americans.  Again, we do not know if he was aware that he was infected, serving as a new age “Typhoid Mary” but the fact remains he came here travelling through some of the busiest airports in the world.  How are his contacts ever to be tracked?  What about their contacts?  The epidemiology becomes an exponentially increasing radius of people interacting with other people be they family, neighbors or friends and coworkers.  This is the nightmare scenario.  This is the reality of a virus from far away coming into an entirely different environment, a completely new ecological system populated by people with no natural immunity or previous exposure to Ebola.

Hopefully Mr. Duncan recovers and is able to provide some of the much needed answers to the many questions surrounding his exposure in Liberia, his travels from Monrovia, and the initial onset of his symptoms.  Just having identified Mr. Duncan as the vector of the dissemination of this Ebola outbreak which is spreading at a never before seen rate through at least three West African countries, is of vital import.  

We do not intend to be redundant but it seems some serious issues need to be addressed time after time.  The very fact that Ebola is in the United States illustrates weaknesses in our national security.  This past week has blackened the eyes of our national security in more than one way.  We have learned of amazingly disturbing truths regarding the actual personal security of our President and his family.  Moreover, the media, particularly the Washington Post has reported in detail the blatant errors of the Secret Service and how close to real deadly peril our President has been in.  We have heard the news that Ebola is here and, given all the systemic failures of our federal government we have no reason to believe their reports and trust them after having been misled in matters as serious as preemptive war and now an ill-defined mission fought from the air against the Islamic State in Iraq, Syria and most likely Turkey.

A linked chain is only as strong as the weakest link.  We have many adversaries; some more formidable than others, some more visible than others.  Ebola demands as much attention from our national security apparatus as does ISIS, ISIL or the Islamic State.  Those barbarians who decapitate innocents to incite a wider war with us possess a lethality as acute as Ebola but on a more limited scale.  In any event, we are in a state of war; our homeland remains vulnerable to an array of threats straight out of Dante’s Inferno.

Vigilance, in every setting, in every sense of the word, in all aspects of affairs, foreign and domestic remains the watchword of the day.  “See Something, Say Something.”












http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2014/08/new-drugs-and-vaccines-cant-stop-ebola-outbreak



 Copyright The Brooding Cynyx 2014 © All Rights Reserved